Sports Betting
Sports Betting OffersNFL BettingCollege Football BettingNBA BettingCollege Basketball BettingSoccer BettingLegal States for Betting SportsLegal Sportsbooks for Betting Sports
Online Casinos
Casino OffersCasino NewsBlackjack strategyPoker strategyVideo PokerRoulette strategySlots strategyClassic SlotsBacarrat strategy
Betting Odds & Lines
NFL OddsCollege Football OddsNBA OddsCollege Basketball OddsNHL OddsSoccer OddsGolf OddsBoxing OddsMMA OddsNASCAR Odds
Picks, Teasers, Parlays
NFL Free Expert PicksNCAAF Free Expert PicksNCAAB Free Expert PicksNBA Free Expert PicksMLB Free Expert Picks
Sportsbooks
BetMGM ReviewFanDuel ReviewBetRivers ReviewFanatics ReviewRecommended SportsbooksLegal Sportsbooks by State
Resources & Guides
How to bet on NFLHow to bet on NCAAFHow to bet on NBAHow to bet on NCAABHow to bet on SoccerHow to bet on Golf
Trending News
Sports Trade RumorsSports Injury ReportsCasino News
NFLBet NFL FuturesBet NFL Super Bowl OddsBet NFL NFC Championship OddsBet NFL AFC Championship OddsBet NFL MVP Odds

Sports Betting

Sports Betting OffersNFL BettingCollege Football BettingNBA BettingCollege Basketball BettingSoccer BettingLegal States for Betting SportsLegal Sportsbooks for Betting Sports

Online Casinos

Casino OffersCasino NewsBlackjack strategyPoker strategyVideo PokerRoulette strategySlots strategyClassic SlotsBacarrat strategy

Betting Odds & Lines

NFL OddsCollege Football OddsNBA OddsCollege Basketball OddsNHL OddsSoccer OddsGolf OddsBoxing OddsMMA OddsNASCAR Odds

Picks, Teasers, Parlays

NFL Free Expert PicksNCAAF Free Expert PicksNCAAB Free Expert PicksNBA Free Expert PicksMLB Free Expert Picks

Sportsbooks

BetMGM ReviewFanDuel ReviewBetRivers ReviewFanatics ReviewRecommended SportsbooksLegal Sportsbooks by State

Resources & Guides

How to bet on NFLHow to bet on NCAAFHow to bet on NBAHow to bet on NCAABHow to bet on SoccerHow to bet on Golf

Trending News

Sports Trade RumorsSports Injury ReportsCasino News
nfl

Scott Shapiro's Week 3 NFL Six Pack

Scott Shapiro

September 19th, 2019

SHARE

Usually most of the NFL overreactions take place after Week 1, but this season I found far more games where teams are being overvalued or undervalued after Week 2.

I may end up paying the price by endorsing teams that are unlikely to win a ton of games, but hopefully a few squads that are being dismissed by the public can turn things around in Week 3.

Half of my plays fit those parameters in this week’s Six Pack (all games Sunday).



Denver Broncos at Green Bay Packers (-7.5), 1 p.m. ET, FOX

The Packers enter Week 3 with a perfect record after victories over divisional rivals Chicago and Minnesota. Aaron Rodgers and the offense have been just OK through two games, outside of an impressive first quarter in their game Sunday against the Vikings, but the new-look defense of Mike Pettine has been outstanding.

Mike Pettine’s defensive scheme confused the Bears on Thursday night

Take a look at how he shows blitz, but then only sends 3 and still gets pressure on Trubisky #ThisDis4Real pic.twitter.com/01VbQvi4eC

— IKE Packers Podcast (@IKE_Packers) September 9, 2019
The Packers are feeling good about themselves and for good reason, but this game against the 0-2 Broncos could be a flat spot for a team that plays Philadelphia on short rest in Week 4.

Denver has not played well through two contests under new head coach Vic Fangio. The Broncos were outplayed by Oakland on Monday night in Week 1 and then lost a brutally tough game in Week 2 after a controversial roughing-the-passer call on Bradley Chubb allowed Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears to march down the field for a game-winning field goal with no time left. The Broncos may not win a lot of games in 2019, but they head into Lambeau Field a desperate team.

It is tough to get excited about backing quarterback Joe Flacco at this point in his career, but with their season basically on the line, I expect the Broncos to hang in this one from start to finish.



Pick: Denver +7.5 (best bet)

Pittsburgh Steelers at San Francisco 49ers (-6), 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

In another contest between an undefeated team at home and a squad that is off to an 0-2 start on the road, the Ben Roethlisberger-less Steelers travel cross-country to take on the 49ers.

Most folks have written Pittsburgh off of after two weeks, but I am not ready to do so. There are far worse options off the bench than 2018 third-round pick Mason Rudolph, who is fortunate to have one of the league’s best offensive lines to protect him. The Steelers’ front office also showed confidence in its team by trading away its 2020 first-round draft pick to acquire defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick from Miami. I am not convinced Pittsburgh is ready to throw in the towel quite yet, but the Steelers badly need a win Sunday to keep hope alive.

I love everything about this #MasonRudolph pic.twitter.com/0ZdY16CMA6

— Jim-Bob Cooter (@_Sip9_) September 15, 2019

San Francisco has won two road games to start its 2019 campaign, but those came against a Tampa Bay team that handed them the victory in Week 1, through numerous mistakes by quarterback Jameis Winston, and a Bengals team that forgot to show up in its home opener. I was bullish on the 49ers going over their win total this year and like what I see so far, but they are still a work in progress.

I understand why the public is reluctant to back the Steelers off of two losses and a quarterback change, but they have played strong competition. Nearly a touchdown spread is an overreaction.



Pick: Pittsburgh +6

Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills (-6), 1 p.m. ET, CBS

The uncomfortable endorsements continue at New Era Field, where the Bills head back to upstate New York after two road victories to begin the season.

Quarterback Josh Allen has taken a step forward in his second season, and the Buffalo defense once again looks solid, but let’s pump the brakes a bit. Outscoring the opposition is what matters, but the Bills' two wins have come against the Giants and Jets. They thoroughly outplayed the Giants, but it took a late comeback in Week 1 to barely get by the Jets.

The Bengals’ defense was embarrassed at home in Week 2, but it is not nearly as bad as that performance suggests. I am just not ready to lay nearly a TD with Buffalo against anyone but Miami.



Pick: Cincinnati +6

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers (-3), 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS

The Chargers had an outstanding 2018, but reverted back to past form on the road when they found a way to lose a game they should have put away several times against Detroit. It is hard to overlook the number of opportunities they let get away Sunday, but they take on a Texans squad that will have difficulties blocking Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram and covering Keenan Allen and Mike Williams on the other side of the ball.

#MeetAtTheQB by Melvin Ingram & Joey Bosa@MelvinIngram executes a jab/cross chop@jbbigbear with the stab/club/rip#PassRush #Chargers #BoltUp pic.twitter.com/QiP3016Bhm

— DLineVids (@dlinevids1) September 12, 2019

Los Angeles is banged-up on both sides, but I am not sold on the Texans, outside of Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins.



Pick: Los Angeles Chargers -3

Los Angeles Rams (-3) at Cleveland Browns, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC

Two teams that are loaded with offensive firepower will meet Sunday night, but I do not expect this to be the shootout that the high-point total suggests. Look for both defensive fronts to get the best of the opposition’s offensive line and for this game to be more of a grinder than the public expects.



Pick: Under 49

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-6), 1 p.m. ET, FOX

If you have followed my work through the preseason and early part of the regular season, you know I am very high on the Eagles, but the amount of injuries they have incurred over a two-week period is staggering. Not only have they lost the majority of their playmakers outside, but also two key members of their defensive front, in Tim Jernigan and Malik Jackson.

Philly will meet a Detroit team that may not make the playoffs and does not possess one of the league’s better head coaches, but the Lions have talent on both sides of the ball. Detroit should be able to make the Eagles work hard to earn their second win of 2019.



Pick: Detroit +6






Scott Shapiro’s 2019 NFL record ATS on BetAmerica heading into Week 3: 8-8 (2-5 last week)

You can hear more of Scott’s NFL thoughts on the “Who Do Ya Like Podcast,” which goes up every Thursday afternoon. You can find it on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you listen to podcasts.

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

NFL

Suggested Articles

Online casino play with dice, chips, card, and a roulette table on a phone.

FanDuel Casino Bonus Code Michigan: Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Excited fan winning a sports bet.

Same Game Parlay Strategy: Best SGP Betting Strategies

Current Trade Rumors Update for February 17, 2025

ADVERTISEMENT

Colorado

Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!

21+ (18+ D.C.) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). First online real money wager only. $5 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets which expire 7 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call  1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800)-327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

Fanatics Sportsbook logo

Bet and Get up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets

Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, Call (877-8-HOPENY) or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN).

Fanatics Sportsbook logo

Get a Guaranteed Win Every Day For Your First Week

Spin to win for free every day, with Casino Credit, Free Spins, FastCash, merch, and more to be won! Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER.

First Bet Offer up to $1,500 Back in Bonus Bets

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

100% Deposit Match up to $1,000 Plus $25 on the House

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Welcome to YouBet™, your daily destination to read the latest news and stories on sports, sports betting, gambling, wagering, and games of chance.

Bet on Sports

NFL BettingCollege Football BettingNBA BettingCollege Basketball BettingSoccer BettingGolf BettingBoxing BettingMMA BettingNASCAR Betting

How to Bet on Sports

How to bet on NFLHow to bet on NCAAFHow to bet on NBAHow to bet on NCAABHow to bet on SoccerHow to bet on Golf

Online Sports Betting

Sportsbook OffersSports Betting OddsSportsbooks by StateExpert Picks for SportsSportsbook OperatorsOnline Horse Betting Offers

About

Terms & ConditionsPrivacy & SecurityCookie PreferencesWager ResponsiblyDo Not Sell or Share My InfoAbout Us

Copyright © Churchill Downs Technology Initiatives Company, All Rights Reserved. This site is solely for entertainment purposes and does not contain any real money wagering. YouBet.com does not promote betting or wagering to users under the relevant legal age in their jurisdiction. Online gambling is not legal in some jurisdictions. Prior to wagering online, it is your responsibility to review local regulations. We encourage responsible gaming and provide resources for individuals who may (or know someone who may) have a gaming addition. Churchill Downs Technology Initiatives Company and its affiliates, officers, directors, and employees do not take responsibility for your actions.

Content intended for a 21+ audience. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-Gambler or find assistance with the National Council on Problem Gambling.