3 reasons why the Chiefs will crush the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has his eyes on the prize. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)
January 27th, 2020
Super Bowl LIV looks like it will be a tightly contested matchup at first glance, but after diving deep into the matchups, it seems that the Kansas Chiefs have a significant advantage over the San Francisco 49ers in several categories. Here are three reasons why Kansas City will win by double digits Sunday.
The Texas Tech product is also capable of using his legs to help Kansas City succeed. Mahomes has rushed for 106 yards in two postseason games, 27 of which occurred on a highlight-reel scramble against Tennessee in the AFC Championship Game that put his team up for good late in the first half.
1. Patrick Mahomes is more than the Niners can handle
No review of the Chiefs’ chances to win the Super Bowl can start without mentioning brilliant quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The 2018 NFL MVP picked up where he left off this season—he completed nearly 66% of his passes for 8.3 yards per attempt, with a 26-5 touchdown-interception ratio. Mahomes has been just as sharp in the playoffs. He has completed 46 of his 70 passes (65.7%) for 615 yards and eight touchdowns (with no interceptions) against the Texans and Titans.The Texas Tech product is also capable of using his legs to help Kansas City succeed. Mahomes has rushed for 106 yards in two postseason games, 27 of which occurred on a highlight-reel scramble against Tennessee in the AFC Championship Game that put his team up for good late in the first half.
Crazy that one of Mahomes biggest plays of his career is a run. #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/2ZFCLN9fJX
— Drew Honaker (@DrewHonaker) January 19, 2020
The 49ers have struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks this season. Per the San Jose Mercury News, they’ve allowed 23.8 points per game, a 99.0 passer rating, and 56.8 rushing yards per game in five contests against Russell Wilson (two meetings), Kyler Murray (two meetings), and Lamar Jackson. Kansas City’s offensive line, sixth in sacks allowed this year, is more than capable of neutralizing San Francisco’s vaunted pass rush led by Nick Bosa.
San Francisco will probably try to run the ball early and often in Super Bowl LIV. It worked for them in the NFC Championship Game, as halfback Raheem Mostert went for 220 yards, while quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo threw the ball just eight times, in a 37-20 victory over the Packers. However, Kansas City held the red-hot Derrick Henry to just 69 yards on 19 carries in the AFC Championship Game, so their rush defense is a solid unit. They also allowed the fewest yards to wide receivers of any team in the NFL during the regular season.
The Niners are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points.
2. Kansas City’s defense is underrated
The Chiefs’ stoppers have surrendered a league-low 11.5 points per game since Week 11, which spells trouble for a 49ers offense that struggles to score at times.San Francisco will probably try to run the ball early and often in Super Bowl LIV. It worked for them in the NFC Championship Game, as halfback Raheem Mostert went for 220 yards, while quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo threw the ball just eight times, in a 37-20 victory over the Packers. However, Kansas City held the red-hot Derrick Henry to just 69 yards on 19 carries in the AFC Championship Game, so their rush defense is a solid unit. They also allowed the fewest yards to wide receivers of any team in the NFL during the regular season.
3. The trend is the Chiefs’ friend
Betting on the Chiefs has been like printing money of late. Andy Reid’s squad is 7-0-1 against the spread in their last eight games, including a 5-0 run against teams with winning records. Kansas City is also 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS victory.The Niners are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight-up win of more than 14 points.
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