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soccer

Wales vs. Denmark: The best prop bets for Euro 2020

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg of Denmark (right) and Yannick Carrasco of Belgium battle for the ball during Euro 2020 action. (Photo by Photonews/Panoramic/Icon Sportswire)

Jason Ence

June 25th, 2021

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With the group stage of Euro 2020 set to begin Saturday, teams will play with more urgency, and a goal means the team behind will become more desperate as time goes by. This leads to a lot of great prop bet opportunities.

Let’s look at the best picks for prop bets in the Wales-Denmark match, including one you can create using the TwinSpires Sports Bet Builder tool!

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg to assist

Since the frightening departure of Christian Eriksen in the opening match for Denmark, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg has taken on more of a playmaking role.

In a Man of the Match performance against Russia, Hojbjerg set up the Danes' opening goal to Mikkel Damsgaard, and then assisted their fourth and final tally with less than 10 minutes remaining.

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg has created nine chances from open play at #EURO2020, at least three more than any other player.

Wow. 🤯 pic.twitter.com/D1N1mLbWPt

— Squawka (@Squawka) June 21, 2021

That came after Hojbjerg set up the opening goal against Belgium, when he latched onto an errant pass, and his duties to break up play allow him to win the ball and quickly distribute it forward.

Against a Wales team that has shown weakness at the back, the value here is too much to pass up.

Pick: Hojbjerg to assist (+450)


Total shots by Denmark

In the two meetings between Denmark and Wales in 2018, the last time they played, the home team registered 16 shots in each match.

In its win over Russia, Denmark took 16 shots. In its defeat to Belgium, the Danes took 21 shots and allowed just six. Even in their opening match against Finland, they put up 22 shots and took 16 more in their final warm-up match with Bosnia and Herzegovina.

20 - Denmark have had two of the three instances of a team attempting 20+ shots in a game at EURO 2020 (also Italy v Turkey), however they have lost both games and only scored one goal in the process. Adverse. #DEN #EURO2020 pic.twitter.com/4MsyDj9IjD

— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 17, 2021

Conversely, the Welsh have allowed opponents to fire at will.

During the group stage, they conceded 18 shots against both Switzerland and Turkey, then faced 23 against Italy. Only Turkey allowed more shots in the group stage than the Welsh.

Given the propensity of the Danes to fire away, and the openness with which Wales plays, the over for Denmark should hit easily.

Pick: Over 14.5 shots (-137)


Denmark double chance, plus both teams to score

This is a match Denmark should win, whether in regulation or after extra time. However, given it is a knockout fixture, and given Denmark’s struggles at times to score goals, a regulation draw is a possibility. Taking the double chance for Denmark requires you to wager nearly six times your profit, which is a high-risk transaction.

Scenes as Denmark win through to the final 16 at #EURO2020 - for Christian Eriksen 👏 pic.twitter.com/MGAjdpUi5Z

— ESPN Australia & NZ (@ESPNAusNZ) June 21, 2021

If you are not confident of the win to nil prop, use the TwinSpires Bet Builder tool to pair a Danish victory or draw in regulation, with the "both teams to score" prop, and wager that Wales will be kept off the scoresheet.

Denmark presents a defense that is much better than any Wales has seen in the tournament, aside from Italy. This wager protects you, in case of a goalless deadlock after 90 minutes, but still allows you to stay on Denmark to advance to the next round in regulation.

Pick: Denmark double chance X2, plus both teams to score "NO" (-106)


Create your own custom Euro 2020 parlays with our TwinSpires Sports Bet Builder. Learn more here.

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