Premier League Parlay Picks for Matchweek 23

All eyes will be on Tampa this Sunday as the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers prepare to go to battle, but we can get the weekend off to a flyer with a Premier League parlay. The last seven days have thrown up plenty of shocks as Newcastle beat Everton, Liverpool and Tottenham both lost to Brighton, and Manchester United dished out a record-equalling 9-0 hammering to Southampton.

As we brace ourselves for another rollercoaster of English soccer, here are four bets that pay out $77 from a $10 parlay and will hopefully put us all in a great mood ahead of Super Bowl LV.

Burnley vs. Brighton – Under 2.5 goals (-155)

Unfortunately, the clash between Burnley and Brighton isn’t going to get many soccer fans excited, but it could get our parlay off to the perfect start. Brighton are in a purple patch of form, having beaten Tottenham and Liverpool in the last seven days, but I can’t bring myself to back them away to Sean Dyche’s well organized Burnley side.

Instead, the smart play is Under 2.5 goals. This bet would’ve clicked in seven of Burnley’s last eight games and 71% of the Clarets’ games this season have seen fewer than 2.5 goals.

Brighton had a free-scoring start to the season, with a total of 18 match goals in their first four games. But they have shored things up since then and Under 2.5 goals would’ve clicked in six of their last seven Premier League games. Graham Potter’s side have scored three and conceded once in their last five games so don’t expect a high-scoring thriller at Turf Moore.  

Southampton +0.25 on the Asian Handicap vs. Newcastle (-179)

Getting beat 9-0 in consecutive seasons is not a good look, and Southampton will not want to linger on that disastrous performance against Manchester United for too long. I’m backing them to come out firing on Saturday as they try to make amends.

Last season in the match immediately after they lost 9-0 to Leicester, they had to travel to title challengers Manchester City. The response was immediate, and although they lost 2-1, they had the lead at half-time and looked like a much better team than had just been hammered.

This year it’s a little easier as they face struggling Newcastle. The Magpies produced a shocking 2-0 win against Everton last week, but they’ve lost six of their last seven.

The Saints' record against teams lower than them in the table is won five, drawn two, lost one. Getting the win or draw with this bet looks like a shrewd move.

West Ham or Draw double chance vs. Fulham (-300)

If you’d told me before the season started that David Moyes and West Ham would be challenging for a Champions League place in February, I would’ve told you to put down the crazy juice and get some air.

But that’s exactly the position we are in and the Hammers have won five of their last six games, scoring 11 goals along the way. New signing Jesse Lindgard bagged a brace as they beat Aston Villa 3-1 in midweek and now they face a Fulham side in a fight for their lives as they attempt to avoid relegation.

The Cottagers have not won a game since Nov. 30, and are on an 11-game winless run, but their ability to make it difficult for opponents is why I’ve gone for the double chance instead of West Ham to win straight up. In that 11-game winless run, Fulham have drawn eight times including games against Tottenham and Liverpool.

West Ham are the better team and should come away with at least a point, but it could turn into a real tough afternoon.

Liverpool vs. Manchester City – Under 2.5 goals (+115)

I was tempted to back City to win this given Liverpool’s recent run of form, but the feeling that City would be happy with a draw at Anfield was too much. City are three points clear of Man Utd and seven ahead of Liverpool with a game in hand over both, so a point here is a solid result for Pep Guardiola’s men who are on a nine-game winning streak.

The smarter money however is on Under 2.5 goals. City’s run has been built on their defensive unit and they have conceded just once in their last nine games. In 71% of their games this year there have been Under 2.5 goals.

Liverpool’s struggles have been going forward. They’ve not scored in five of their last seven games, and midweek at home to Brighton they managed just one shot on target. Jurgen Klopp said his side were physically and mentally exhausted courtesy of the schedule of matches.

The clash between these two earlier in the season ended 1-1 and I can see another tight and tense affair. City will keep it tight at the back, and Liverpool won’t want to commit to many forward as a loss would be the final nail in their title challenge. It’s going to be ultra-cagey and Under 2.5 goals is a solid bet.