MLS Game of the Week: Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union
Atlanta (-175)
Following a tepid start to 2019, Atlanta has shown glimpses of 2018 in their last pair of outings. Frank de Boer’s side allowed only one shot on goal in an unfortunate 1-1 draw to Cincinnati, and they followed that up with a 1-0 tally over Monterrey in the second leg of their CONCACAF Champions League match.
The high-possession squad figures to have the lion’s share of the ball on Sunday in front of their home fans, where they concluded 2018 unbeaten in their final 10 games (7-0-3) and haven’t lost at home in 15 matches overall. They employed a 5-3-2 formation against Monterrey with success, though I expect them to be more aggressive on Sunday sporting just a four-man back line.
Venezuelan-born Josef Martinez, the reigning league and MLS Cup MVP, scored on Wednesday and he should have his chances against the porous Union defense.
Philly (+425)
Things have not started positively for the Union in 2019; starting with a 3-1 loss to Toronto FC on opening night and following that with a 2-0 defeat to Sporting Kansas City. And to add insult to injury, new signing and vital attacking midfielder Marco Fabian will miss the Sunday match-up as he is on a red card for his actions against KC.
Jim Curtin’s side currently sits at the bottom of the table with a -4 goal differential and they picked a tough time to visit the defending MLS Cup champions.
I expect Philadelphia to tighten things up in the back for this match and to try to hit Atlanta on the counter. Their 4-1-3-2 alignment has left too much space for their opponents in attack early this year. However, playing a side that holds the ball as well as Atlanta does spell big trouble for a Union squad that has been fragile in front of their keeper.
Analysis
A struggling Union team coming to Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the perfect remedy for an Atlanta side that has yet to hit their best stride. Laying the -175 odds is quite manageable for a superior team that will be hungry to get in the win column on Sunday.
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