Rams vs. Bengals: The best Cooper Kupp receiving prop bets for Super Bowl LVI

Cooper Kupp fell just 18 yards shy of the NFL record for receiving yards in a season in 2021. He also became just the fourth player in league history to win the receiving "Triple Crown" by leading the league in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. Will he continue to put up big numbers in the Super Bowl?

We've examined the odds and have come up with the three best Cooper Kupp receiving prop bets for Super Bowl LVI.

Over/Under 106.5 Receiving Yards

It is extremely rare that you see a total for receiving yardage hit triple digits, but when you put up numbers like Kupp did, it's to be expected. In the regular season, he averaged an astounding 114.5 receiving yards per game. In the postseason, Kupp increased that total to an unreal 128.7 yards.

Kupp has surpassed this number in 13 of his 20 games this season, and 11 of his last 15 games. The Cincinnati Bengals' defense will force turnovers, but they are susceptible to allowing yards, especially through the air. In fact, they rank 26th in the NFL in passing yards allowed at 248.4 yards per game.

However, the Bengals have only allowed three wide receivers to hit triple digits in the yardage category this year. They were Davante Adams and Mike Williams in the regular season, and A.J. Brown in the Divisional Round. I like Kupp to join this list of 100+ yard receivers against the Bengals.

Pick: Over 106.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Over/Under 8.5 Receptions

Another massively high total here. Kupp averaged 8.5 receptions per game in the regular season and has averaged 8.3 per game in the postseason. He easily went Over this total with nine and 11 receptions in each of the previous two games. However, in the three games prior to those, Kupp only had seven targets in each game, so he did not even get an opportunity to reach nine catches.

The Bengals allowed 24.7 receptions per game in the regular season and have allowed 23.3 receptions in the postseason. Based on those averages, Kupp would need to catch nine of the 24 receptions allowed, which is 37.5%. In the regular season, Kupp caught 35.7% of the Rams' completions.

The last time a wide receiver caught nine or more passes against the Bengals was on Nov. 28 when Diontae Johnson caught nine passes for the Pittsburgh Steelers. The only other players to do so were when Davante Adams (11 receptions on Oct. 10), Chase Claypool (nine catches on Sept. 26), and Adam Thielen (nine catches on Sept. 12). This number is just too high to trust.

Pick: Under 8.5 Receptions (-124)

First Reception Over/Under 11.5 Yards

I love this prop because it seems like such a coin flip, but you can do some research to find a trend from both the player’s history and the opposing defense’s history. Here is a chart of every first catch Kupp had this season:

Upon first glance Kupp only went Over this total in nine of his 20 games, so it favors the Under. However, several of these lower numbers were earlier in the season when the Rams were just looking to get him a quick catch early. I don't believe that will be the case in the Super Bowl. I expect the Rams will look to Kupp for a deep out route early after hitting the Bengals with an Odell Beckham Jr. deep ball.

Pick: First Reception Over 11.5 Yards (+100)