Patriots will face first real test against Ravens in SNF showdown
New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady is aging like a fine wine. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)
November 2nd, 2019
The Patriots will put their undefeated record on the line at M&T Bank Stadium against the Ravens on Sunday night. Baltimore is coming off a bye but they may be getting too much credit from oddsmakers in this spot.
New England Patriots (8-0) at Baltimore Ravens (5-2), 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|
New England Patriots | -3 (-107) | -165 | O 45 (-104) |
Baltimore Ravens | +3 (-113) | +135 | U 45 (-116) |
The Patriots have been a superb ATS bet
New England has been an excellent bet of late, going 10-2 against the spread in their last 12 games. Playing on the road should not perturb Bill Belichick’s squad, as they’ve covered in 12 of their last 16 road games against teams with winning home records. This three-point spread represents the lowest number the Patriots have been favored by since they were 2.5-point favorites in the Super Bowl.Brady and the Pats are masters at controlling the ball
Tom Brady and company are a modest 16th in total offense this year but they specialize in ball control, as they’re third in time of possession this season. They should have success against the Ravens’ defense, which is ranked 16th by yards allowed per game. Baltimore’s secondary has been porous all year long, giving up an average of 265.4 yards per game through the air (26th), so look for Brady to pick the opposition apart. John Harbaugh’s crew will probably struggle to apply pressure in this one as they’re just 28th in sacks. Brady has been brought down only 14 times though eight games.Lamar Jackson says Tom Brady is the GOAT of all 🐐’s pic.twitter.com/kMJpGZ1byZ
— BrycenNFL 👑 (@BrycenNFL) October 30, 2019
New England's D has been historically good
The Patriots are first in points per game in 2019 thanks in part to their lethal defense that specializes in causing turnovers (25, first in the league). This unit is also second in yards allowed per tilt. They should wreak havoc against the Ravens’ one-dimensional sophomore quarterback Lamar Jackson, who’s been held to an average of 180 passing yards per game over his last three contests with a modest 60.5 percent completion rate and lackluster 1-3 TD-INT ratio.Can the Patriots Defense keep up this historic run? pic.twitter.com/1Z1JsbSNFn
— NBC Sports Boston's Patriots Coverage (@NBCSPatriots) October 28, 2019
Baltimore bettors have been burned on a regular basis of late, as the Ravens are only 1-5 against the spread in their last six overall and have failed to cover in six straight home affairs. Lay the points with the Patriots.
NFL free play: Patriots -3
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