NFL Week 15: Bills vs. Broncos odds, preview, and pick
Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)
December 14th, 2020
A Saturday doubleheader awaits NFL fans and bettors, beginning with a mid-afternoon clash between the Buffalo Bills (10-3) and the Denver Broncos (5-8).
The Bills will roll into the Mile High City with a ton of momentum on their side, but will the Broncos burst their bubble? Here is our wagering preview.
Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
Can anybody beat Buffalo?
The Bills have won six of their last seven games and have covered the spread in five straight. That includes their 26-15 Sunday victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers, the previous No. 1 seed in the AFC.
BILLS WIN!!!#PITvsBUF | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/91k4aVEpwJ
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 14, 2020
Buffalo’s lone loss in this stretch was via a Hail Mary against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10, and the Bills have averaged 32.2 points over their last five games.
Denver’s latest offensive burst feels like a fluke
The Broncos managed to produce 32 points in a victory over the subpar Carolina Panthers in Week 14, but outings like that have been few and far between for Denver in 2020.
🔒'd down a W.
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) December 13, 2020
We #BeatThePanthers!!!! pic.twitter.com/FFO2l7L7fi
The Broncos averaged 12.8 points per game in its previous four contests, 16 per game if you exclude the game it played against the New Orleans Saints without a proper quarterback. The Bills’ defense ranks 15th in points allowed per game this season (24.7), but this unit should not be overwhelmed Saturday.
Bills and Broncos statistics and rankings
| Team | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Passing yards allowed | Rushing yards allowed |
|---|
Buffalo Bills | 272.8, 3rd | 102.5, 22nd | 243.9, 19th | 119.9, 19th |
Denver Broncos | 211.5, 26th | 117.2, 13th | 220.7, 10th | 131.0, 27th |
A tale of two quarterbacks
Josh Allen and Drew Lock are having completely different seasons.
Allen has already blown past the 3,089 passing yards he produced in 2019, with 3,641 through 13 games. His completion percentage has jumped nearly 10 points in 2020 (68.6%, compared to 58.8% in 2019), and he has tallied a career-high 28 touchdown passes for the Bills.
.@JoshAllenQB can't be stopped. His fourth TD of the night! #BillsMafia
— NFL (@NFL) December 8, 2020
📺: #BUFvsSF on ESPN
📱: NFL app // Yahoo Sports app: https://t.co/Cn2mSOuS9h pic.twitter.com/9kzD2Aig2T
Lock has not lived up to the promise he showed at the end of 2019. The Missouri product has completed just more than 57% of his passes this season, for 6.8 yards per attempt, with a 13 interceptions and 13 touchdown passes.
Trends say take the favorite
The Bills are 6-2-1 against the spread in their last nine games played outdoors, with a 10-4-2 ATS record in their last 16 games on the road.
The Broncos have dropped five of their last six games ATS following a straight-up victory. They’ve also failed to cover in four straight Saturday games.
Score prediction: Bills 27, Broncos 17
NFL pick: Bills -5.5
Wager on all NFL Week 15 action on BetAmerica!
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