Monday Night Football betting tips: Bills can't contain Travis Kelce

We have double the fun on Monday night with two mouth-watering games. The 4-1 Kansas City Chiefs take on the 4-1 Buffalo Bills with Patrick Mahomes going toe-to-toe with Josh Allen in an AFC showdown. Both teams are licking their wounds and looking for a bounce back performance, so expect both offences to come out firing!

Following that clash we have the Arizona Cardinals vs. the Dallas Cowboys, with Dallas going into the game without star QB Dak Prescott following that awful injury in Week 5. Andy Dalton is going to take over in what is set up to be yet another points-fest.

Here are the four player prop bets that can get your week off to a flyer! 

BOOM: Travis Kelce (Over 73.5 receiving yards -110)

Playing with Magic Mahomes is always going to give you opportunities to score big, and when you’re the best tight end in the game you rarely disappoint. Kelce has reeled in 32 catches for 405 yards through five games this year and now he goes up against a Bills defence that has given up 418 yards to tight ends already.

Darren Waller racked up 88 yards off nine catchers for the Raiders against the Bills in Week 4, while Dolphins’ Mike Gesicki torched them for 130 yards in Week 2. In Week 5 Jonnu Smith only clocked 40 yards for the Titans, but he bagged himself two touchdowns along the way, further showing the problems the Bills have against tight ends.

In a game where the Chiefs are projected to get 31 points, there are plenty of yards to be gained, and Kelce can bag his fair share.

BOOM: Ezekiel Elliott (Over 88.5 rushing yards -115)

With Dak Prescott out I am expecting a whole lot more of Zeke against the Cardinals. Arizona has a slightly below average run defence, and Mike Davis was able to turn 16 carries into 84 yards in Week 4 for the Panthers.

But this all comes down to the change in QB. Andy Dalton is a good signal-caller, but expect him to lean on Elliott a lot more than Prescott had been – and even then, Zeke was eating up the yards. Despite a couple of disappointing outings at Seattle and Cleveland, Elliott racked up more than 88 yards against the Rams, Falcons, and Giants.

The Cardinals have given up 4.5 yards per attempt to running backs this season, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see Elliott bag 20+ touches on Monday.

BUST: Michael Gallup (Under 41.5 receiving yards -115)

Dak’s absence may see an uptick for Elliott, but it’s bad news for Gallup. I expect him to struggle, despite the Cowboys racking up more yards per game than any other team in the NFL.

Gallup has made the most of his catches this year – with an average of 20.5 yards per catch – but that number is likely to regress. Ignoring Week 3 at Seattle, Gallup hasn’t had a game where he has seen more than five targets with Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz, and Zeke Elliott all picking up more targets and receptions.

A new QB is unlikely to help Gallup’s cause, and he may struggle to reach this line off just two or three catches.

BUST: John Brown (Under 43.5 receiving yards -115)

Stefon Diggs is the clear WR1 in Buffalo and John Brown has been dealing with a soft tissue injury since Week 2. That bothersome calf injury worries me, but what’s even more concerning is Brown’s lack of targets, with just 13 through his last three games.

Through five weeks the Chiefs have only allowed seven receivers to go over 45 yards against them – Darren Waller, Nelson Agholor, Henry Ruggs, Damiere Byrd, Keenan Allen, and Hunter Henry. Of those seven, five of them got seven targets or more in their game.

John Brown may only get four or five targets, and combining that with the Chiefs’ ability to slow down receivers and the ongoing calf injury, I’m happy to be on the Under despite the expected high game total.

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