49ers vs. Packers: The best player prop bets for the Divisional Round
The top-seeded Green Bay Packers will make their 2022 postseason debut when they host the sixth-seeded San Francisco 49ers at Lambeau Field on Saturday at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Super Bowl MVP frontrunner Aaron Rodgers guided his team to a 13-4 record in the regular season, tied with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the best in the league.
To reach the NFC Conference Championship Game for the third straight year, Rodgers must conquer the team he grew up rooting for and had hoped would draft him first overall in 2005.
Rodgers is 6-3 against the Niners in his career but 0-3 against San Francisco in the postseason.
The last time Rodgers faced Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers in the playoffs, San Francisco won handily, 37-20, in the conference championship round in January 2020.
These two teams also met in Week 3 of the 2021 regular season at Levi's Stadium, where Green Bay kicked a last-second field goal to win 30-28.
Let's examine this Divisional Round matchup further, as we look at the three best player props to bet.
Davante Adams Over/Under 93.5 receiving yards
Rodgers' favorite target, Davante Adams, ranked third in the league in receiving yards (1,553) and fifth in touchdown catches (11) during the regular season.
One of Adams' best games of the year occurred in Week 3 against San Francisco, as the veteran wideout hauled in 12 of 18 targets for 132 yards and a touchdown.
Davante Adams in Week 3, 2021 against the 49ers:
— Joe (day 1 Jayden Reed fan) (@joepkipp) January 17, 2022
• 12 catches, 132 yards, 1 TD
Adams’ career stats vs. 49ers (5 games, including postseason):
• 48 catches, 618 yards, 5 TDs
Adams AVERAGES nearly 10 catches, 125 yards and a touchdown when he plays SF 🤯#One7 #Packers pic.twitter.com/fsMCsCbi1n
In 2021, the Niners surrendered 2,745 yards to wide receivers, the 10th most among NFL defenses.
Adams has caught for more than 100 yards in five of his past seven games. In the final week of the season, he tallied just 55 receiving yards but only played part of the matchup, as the Packers had already locked up the No. 1 seed in the NFC.
He has surpassed 92 receiving yards in half of the 16 games he played, and with the way San Francisco struggled to cover him in Week 3, Rodgers will be eager to utilize his best weapon on Saturday.
Pick: Over 93.5 receiving yards (-114)
Jimmy Garoppolo Over/Under 240.5 passing yards
The last time San Francisco battled Green Bay, Garoppolo got off to a sluggish start but threw for a pair of scores in the second half to put the 49ers up by one point with under a minute remaining in the contest.
Garoppolo finished with 257 yards on 25-of-40 passing, and coughed up an interception in the first half.
This time around, Garoppolo will likely endure more difficulty against the Packers defense out of the gate, as he is dealing with a bone chip and a torn UCL in his throwing thumb, along with a sprained shoulder he suffered in the Niners' Wild Card Round win against the Dallas Cowboys.
Garoppolo was limited in practice on Tuesday, but was a full participant Wednesday, and is expected to start this weekend.
Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo (shoulder/thumb) expected to play vs. Packers, but won't be 100 percent, per @RapSheethttps://t.co/mqGqO6Yj3C pic.twitter.com/Ndm4RSMllN
— Around The NFL (@AroundTheNFL) January 20, 2022
He completed 16 of 25 passes for just 172 yards in the Wild Card Round, while San Francisco's rushing attack took the reins and piled up 169 yards on 38 total carries.
Expect a similar offensive game plan from Kyle Shanahan in light of Garoppolo's injury, and look for the quarterback to hit the Under on 240.5 passing yards.
Pick: Under 240.5 passing yards (-115)
Deebo Samuel anytime touchdown scorer
The 49ers' X-factor in Saturday's matchup is Deebo Samuel. The wideout had a fairly quiet outing in Week 3, with 52 receiving yards on five catches, but he later transformed into a wide receiver/running back hybrid that terrorized defenses in the second half of the regular season.
Since Week 10 against the Los Angeles Rams, Samuel has reached paydirt in eight of his past nine games, including last week's playoff victory. Of the 10 total touchdowns he has recorded in that span, eight were rushing scores.
The Packers give up an average of nearly one rushing touchdown per game and 1.8 passing touchdowns per contest (third most in the league).
With the variety of ways Samuel can score, he'll be called upon regularly in this matchup and is a solid bet to reach the end zone at least once against Green Bay.
Pick: Deebo Samuel to score a touchdown (+100)
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