Boost the Bankroll: NFL Five-Team Teaser Play for Week 15 of 2024

Four regular season games remain for NFL teams entering Week 15 and an exciting slate of games is scheduled, including 10-3 Buffalo at 12-1 Detroit. YouBet will include the big game among its best bets in Week 15, all lines courtesy of BetMGM and times listed as Eastern.

Chiefs at Browns (1 p.m.): Browns +4

Browns have lost two straight, dropping four of the last five games, but their offense has found its groove behind Jameis Winston, who remains turnover-prone but has led a high-powered attack despite facing playoff contenders Denver and Pittsburgh (twice) in recent weeks. Cleveland is always dangerous at home, posting a 13-6 ATS record in the last 19 home contests, and they’ve played Andy Reid and the Chiefs tough, 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

Chiefs have failed to cover seven consecutive games, winning six one-score games that could have gone either way, and they’ve sustained injuries while failing to cover since mid-October. The defense remains talented but is not performing at the same high level as earlier in the season, yielding 434 total yards to Las Vegas and 27 points to Carolina in recent weeks, and they’ll surrender yards to Cleveland. Patrick Mahomes always provides the Chiefs with a chance to win close games, but they’ve been held to fewer than 20 points in the last two games and won’t face an easy challenge against Cleveland’s defense.

Commanders at Saints (1 p.m.): Commanders -7.5

After snapping an 0-3 ATS run with a 42-19 win over Tennessee, Washington returns from a bye and is in the driver’s seat for a wildcard berth in the NFC. The Saints are reeling from the loss of Derek Carr last week, holding on to beat the Giants with a blocked field goal in the final minutes, and the Commanders will look to launch a late-season push in this spot.

The Saints became completely dysfunctional following a good start, and they showed some improvement after Darren Rizzi took over as interim head coach, winning and covering two straight games before a respectable performance against the Rams. However, they lost their momentum and took a significant step back before Carr was injured last week, struggling to score points against a Giants team that consistently provided them with favorable field position due to their offensive ineptitude. Injuries (including both starting receivers and Taysom Hill) have caught up to New Orleans, and we project a double-digit win from the Commanders.

Jets at Jaguars (1 p.m.): Jaguars +3.5

Except for a lopsided loss at Detroit, the Jaguars have played hard for Doug Pederson since late October, recording a 6-1 ATS record in their last seven games. They dropped one-score games to Green Bay, Minnesota, and Philadelphia before Trevor Lawrence sustained a season-ending injury two weeks ago, but it’s easy to appreciate how Jacksonville responded, losing 23-20 at Houston and winning 10-6 at Tennessee last week. 

The Jets are the most overvalued and inconsistent team in the league, going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, and after an ugly 32-26 loss at Miami where they squandered a late lead, they shouldn’t be favored by more than a field goal in their second consecutive road game. New York’s terrible offensive line and poor tackling defense will find ways to lose, and Jacksonville will carry their momentum forward off a confidence-building win.
 

Bills at Lions (4:25 p.m.): Lions -2.5

A potential Super Bowl preview, and Lions catch Bills in tough spot following a hard-fought 42-40 loss to Rams where Josh Allen threw three touchdown passes and rushed for three touchdowns. Defense was the main culprit, failing to get their opponent off the field as the Rams held a 72-54 advantage in number of plays, rushing for nearly 150 yards and passing for 320 yards.

This is only the second time this season that Buffalo has played consecutive away games, losing to Houston in the same scenario earlier this season, and Lions are eligible to dominate time of possession behind their mighty ground game, averaging 159.5 rushing yards over the last four contests.

Colts at Broncos (4:25 p.m.): Colts +4

Turnovers are always a concern with the Colts (1.5 giveaways per game average), but the Broncos' defense has been leaking oil in recent games, surrendering 921 total yards to Cleveland and Las Vegas in the last two outings. The Colts are eligible to remain competitive by piling up yardage, especially on the ground.

Denver has been taking advantage of a favorable schedule over the last two months, but their offense can become stagnant against better defenses, averaging only 13.3 points per game in the last three contests versus teams with a winning record. We expect a close game that is decided by a field goal or less.