2024 NFL: Five Best Bets for Week 16

The 2024 NFL regular season has entered the stretch run, with a trio of games remaining for each team, and YouBet has analyzed and identified five best bets for Week 16. All lines courtesy of BetMGM, times listed as Eastern.

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YouBet reveals five best bets to turn a profit in Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season

Steelers at Ravens (4:30 p.m. Saturday): Steelers +6

Baltimore always brings out the best in Pittsburgh, which defeated the Ravens earlier this season to improve to 4-1 versus Lamar Jackson, and line inflated due to the Steelers’ terrible performance last week, possessing the ball only twice in the second half during a lopsided loss to Philadelphia. But don’t be fooled by that performance, the Steelers are poised to rebound behind Mike Tomlin, who is the best coach in football off a loss. And this is one of the most favorable betting positions: Pittsburgh 7-0 ATS vs AFC North rivals off a straight-up loss. Ravens 1-4 ATS in the last five games when laying a touchdown or less, expect a close game here.

Lions at Bears (1 p.m. Sunday): Bears +6.5

Bears had every opportunity to defeat divisional rivals Green Bay and Minnesota at home this season, losing by a combined four points, and it’s fair to question how much the Lions will have left after another rash of injuries last week, losing running back David Montgomery, defensive tackle Alim McNeill and both starting cornerbacks (Carlton Davis and Khalil Dorsey). Chicago in a revenge setting after squandering an opportunity to win at Detroit on Thanksgiving due to poor clock management, and nine of the last 13 meetings between these teams have been decided by six points or less.

Detroit had already placed 18 players on injured reserve before losing 48-42 to Buffalo last week, surrendering 559 total yards week, including 197 rushing. No team has been a bigger MASH unit this season, and the points are attractive given the Lions aren’t close to full strength.

Eagles at Commanders (1 p.m. Sunday): Eagles -3.5

Commanders have surpassed expectations and are well-positioned for a wild card berth at 9-5, but they’ve plateaued since peaking earlier this season. 12-2 Eagles playing with confidence, thoroughly dismantling the Steelers last week, and they’ll be focused upon finishing strong to gain home-field advantage in the NFC playoffs. We like Philly by at least a touchdown.

After losing three consecutive, Commanders managed to defeat a pair of lowly teams (Tennessee and New Orleans) in the last two games, but they were outplayed by New Orleans in the second half last week, squandering a 20-7 fourth quarter advantage before escaping with a one-point win due to a failed two-point conversion. Defenses have adjusted for Jaden Daniels, who hasn’t performed at the same level since injuring his shoulder last month, averaging only 224.5 passing yards and an interception over the last four games, and this figures to be another tough outing for the rookie quarterback.

Rams at Jets (1 p.m. Sunday): Jets +3

Jets have disappointed mightily this season, entering with a 4-10 record, but they’ve turned things around from an offensive standpoint in recent weeks, averaging 26.5 points over the last four games as Aaron Rogers has found a rhythm with Davantae Adams and Garrett Wilson. And despite owning a 2-4 home record, New York has outscored opponents 122-93 in six home games. Rams travel across the country off a pair of hard-fought wins, outscoring Buffalo 44-42 at home and outlasting San Francisco 12-6 on the road last week, and they’ve been more effective at home: Los Angeles averaging 19.3 points in seven road tilts, tied for 23rd in the league. Los Angeles has allowed the fourth-most points (24.1 per game) among NFC teams, and we’ll grab the points at home with the surging Jets.

49ers at Dolphins (4:25 p.m. Sunday): Dolphins -1

Miami’s playoff hopes took a serious hit with a 20-12 loss at Houston last week, being held to 17 or less points for the fifth time in seven road games, but Dolphins return to face a limited opponent in the friendly confines of Hard Rock Stadium. They’ve resembled Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde home and away, averaging 31.75 points in the last four home games and ranking next-to-last in the league by averaging only 15.3 points on the road this year. And the banged-up and sagging 49ers won’t be able to match points with a high-scoring rival, exceeding 10 points only once in their last four games. San Fran’s offensive line has been decimated and injuries have taken too much of a toll across the board, we like the Dolphins by at least a field goal.