NBA Trends: The Knicks are partying like it's 1999
There is only a few days left of the NBA regular season, and we have a strong set of data to dive into.
Let's break down the latest metrics from around the league, and determine which trends you should take advantage of as the playoffs near.
Mini Series Trends
All season long, we've been following NBA mini series and tracking the best bets to make. In all mini series combined, the Under is 31-18-1 in the second game of the series.
In the 42 mini series that have been played in the Western Conference, the Under is 44-39-1. The team that lost the first game is 24-17-1 ATS in the second game. We still have Sacramento at Memphis and Phoenix at San Antonio left to end the season for mini-series.
In the 37 mini series that have been played in the Eastern Conference, the team that covered the first game is 21-16 ATS in the second game. The underdog is 41-33 ATS in all games. We still have Orlando at Philadelphia to end the season.
Party like it's 1999
The New York Knicks currently have the best record against the spread in the NBA at 44-24-1. This 64.7% win percentage is the best in the NBA since this stat first became available in 2003. They are competing with the best of the best this year, and have their fans believing in a run to the NBA Finals.
The Knicks are 12-2 ATS as home favorites, and are 13-4-1 ATS when they have the rest advantage. Their final three games of the season are all home games and they will have the rest advantage against the Spurs on Thursday.
Opposite end of the spectrum
While the Knicks are looking to make positive ATS history, the Cleveland Cavaliers are close to making history on the negative side. The Cavs are currently 25-44-1 ATS and that 36.2% winning percentage is the third worst all-time. Only the Orlando Magic (33.3%) in the 2003-04 season and the Charlotte Bobcats (34.8%) in the 2011-12 season were worse.
The Cavs have failed to cover in 14 of their past 16 games! They are 11-31 ATS this season when they have exactly one day of rest between games. Cleveland is 9-22 ATS as a road underdog and 10-24 overall on the road. Both of their final games of the season fit these criteria.
Totals to look for
For the final four days of the regular season, let’s look at some of the best totals to wager on based on season trends.
On Thursday, San Antonio at New York has a stellar trend. The Over is 20-9 in all Spurs games against non-conference opponents. It is 16-13 in all Knicks games against non-conference opponents.
On Friday, New Orleans at Golden State has a good trend for the Under. The Under is 13-8 in all games where the Pelicans are road underdogs. The Under is 7-4 in all games where the Warriors have 2-3 days of rest between games.
On Saturday, Chicago at Brooklyn will be the key total to look at. The Under is 27-12 when the Bulls play an Eastern Conference team and 13-7 when they have the rest disadvantage.
On Sunday, Indiana at Toronto will get you back on the Overs train. The Over is 23-11-1 when the Pacers are the road team. It is also 23-17 when the Raptors play an Eastern Conference opponent.
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