Jazz vs. Grizzlies: The best player prop bets for Game 4
Monday night's Game 4 between the Utah Jazz and Memphis Grizzlies should be a memorable one, as the Grizzlies hope to get back in this series and the Jazz strive to win their third straight game and take a commanding 3-1 lead.
Will the Grizzlies find a way to contain Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley? Which players can we expect to come through for each side?
Game 4 begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on TNT, and we have the top three player props picks for tonight's action below.
Player to score over 25.5 points and player's team to win
This market is a great opportunity to find value when you feel good about a team winning the game. The two players available tonight are Mitchell and Ja Morant. Both players have individual point totals set at 25.5, but their odds are -106 and -105 respectively for the Over. In this market, you can get +160 and +375 for the Over as long as their team also wins the game.
I have a strong feeling that the Jazz are not going to lose a game in this series as long as Mitchell is playing. Utah slowed him into this series by sitting him in a Game 1 loss, and then only playing him 26 minutes in a Game 2 victory. He only scored 25 points in that game, but the minutes restriction held him back.
Donovan Mitchell drops 29 PTS to lead the Jazz to a Game 3 win in Memphis 🔥 pic.twitter.com/09SKOnpAZf
— NBA on TNT (@NBAonTNT) May 30, 2021
In Game 3, Mitchell tallied 29 points in 30 minutes in a 10-point victory. His minutes seem to be on the upswing, and the Jazz know they can put away the series tonight with a win.
I believe Mitchell will be back to his season average around 33 minutes and the points will be there with those minutes. Give me Mitchell and a Jazz win for an easy victory on this Memorial Day showdown.
PICK: Donovan Mitchell - Yes (+160)
Mike Conley Over/Under 17.5 points
Conley averaged 16.2 points per game in his 51 regular season games for the Jazz this year. However, in the three games in this series, he is averaging 23.0 points per game. The addition of Mitchell did not change Conley’s production. In fact, it actually improved.
In Game 1, Conley scored 22 points despite shooting just 33.3% from the field. In Game 2, he scored 20 points, and in Game 3 he scored 27 points. He shot 50% from the field in each of his last two games.
Mike Conley forever pic.twitter.com/OTqR7bIgrO
— Utah Jazz (@utahjazz) May 30, 2021
Here you can snag the Over at only 17.5 points. Conley is getting some great looks with Mitchell back on the court, and even though he is a second option in the scoring, it feels like a lock for him to surpass tonight's projected total.
PICK: OVER 17.5 POINTS (-105)
Ja Morant Over/Under 7.5 assists
Morant averaged 7.4 assists per game during the regular season, but is only averaging six assists per outing during this series. The former Rookie of the Year has been the go-to scoring option for the Grizz, and it is clearly affecting his assist totals.
In a Game 1 victory, Morant scored 26 points, but only had four assists. In Game 2 and 3, he only tallied seven assists in each game, but scored 47 and 28 points.
ja morant carrying the grizzlies right now like: pic.twitter.com/XnbWaIMLde
— buckets (@buckets) May 27, 2021
The number here is set too high, and for that reason I love the Under. If the number was 6.5, I would stay away, but at 7.5, that extra insurance of allowing him to have another seven-assist game makes this a solid play.
PICK: Under 7.5 assists (-148)
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