Wednesday MLB preview: Braves at Phillies, Red Sox at Blue Jays
September 11th, 2019
Atlanta Braves (90-56) at Philadelphia Phillies (75-69), 7:05 p.m. ET, ESPN
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|
Atlanta Braves | -1.5 (+120) | -130 | Over 9.5 (-115) |
Philadelphia Phillies | +1.5 (-140) | +115 | Under 9.5 (-105 |
Dallas Keuchel (7-5, 3.47 ERA) is pitching his way into the Braves' postseason plans with a strong recent batch of starts. He appears to have the Phillies' Zach Eflin (8-11, 4.31 ERA)—who has been awful against Atlanta this year—substantially overmatched.
Keuchel has surrendered just three earned runs in his last five starts (31 innings). The southpaw from Oklahoma produced a quality start in his only outing against Philadelphia this season.
Eflin is 0-2 with a 19.06 ERA in two starts against the Braves in 2019. He was tattooed by third baseman Josh Donaldson, who owns a 2.144 OPS in 10 plate appearances against Eflin, in both of those outings. The "Bringer of Rain" is showing no signs of letting up any time soon, as he has produced a 1.152 OPS in his last 15 games. Atlanta is 40-17 in its last 57 games against divisional opponents and has won six of its last seven road games against teams with winning records.
Keuchel has surrendered just three earned runs in his last five starts (31 innings). The southpaw from Oklahoma produced a quality start in his only outing against Philadelphia this season.
Eflin is 0-2 with a 19.06 ERA in two starts against the Braves in 2019. He was tattooed by third baseman Josh Donaldson, who owns a 2.144 OPS in 10 plate appearances against Eflin, in both of those outings. The "Bringer of Rain" is showing no signs of letting up any time soon, as he has produced a 1.152 OPS in his last 15 games. Atlanta is 40-17 in its last 57 games against divisional opponents and has won six of its last seven road games against teams with winning records.
MLB free play: Braves moneyline
Boston Red Sox (76-69) at Toronto Blue Jays (56-89), 7:07 p.m. ET
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|
Atlanta Braves | -1.5 (+120) | -130 | Over 9.5 (-115) |
Philadelphia Phillies | +1.5 (-140) | +115 | Under 9.5 (-105 |
The Blue Jays have the starting-pitching advantage in Wednesday night's meeting with the Red Sox, but their offense is so anemic, it's hard to have faith in them on the moneyline. Bettors should bank on few runs coming across early on.
Bobby Poyner (0-0, 10.50 ERA) has been ineffective in six innings for Boston this season, despite encouraging numbers in 2018 (3.22 ERA, 1.119 WHIP). However, Toronto's lineup has been languishing at the bottom in batting average for most of 2019, and things have not improved in the season's final stanza. The Blue Jays are last in average at .169 through eight games in September.
Wilmer Font (2-2, 4.38 ERA) will try to give Toronto four or five productive innings. The opposition is batting just .229 against him in the second time around the lineup this year, a drop that is in line with his career splits. Font is 2-0, with a 2.89 ERA and .200 opponent batting average, at home this season (37 1/3 innings).
Bobby Poyner (0-0, 10.50 ERA) has been ineffective in six innings for Boston this season, despite encouraging numbers in 2018 (3.22 ERA, 1.119 WHIP). However, Toronto's lineup has been languishing at the bottom in batting average for most of 2019, and things have not improved in the season's final stanza. The Blue Jays are last in average at .169 through eight games in September.
Wilmer Font (2-2, 4.38 ERA) will try to give Toronto four or five productive innings. The opposition is batting just .229 against him in the second time around the lineup this year, a drop that is in line with his career splits. Font is 2-0, with a 2.89 ERA and .200 opponent batting average, at home this season (37 1/3 innings).
MLB free play: Under six runs first five innings (-110)
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