Monday MLB preview: Astros at Reds, Mets at Braves

Houston Astros (48-24) at Cincinnati Reds (31-38), 7:10 p.m. ET

Wade Miley (6-3, 3.14 ERA) (HOU) +110 / +1.5 runs (-200) / Over 8.5 runs (-105) Luis Castillo (6-1, 2.20 ERA) (CIN) -120 / -1.5 runs (+165) / Under 8.5 runs (-115)

MLB Free Play: Astros moneyline

The Astros' potent lineup should figure out a way to solve Cincinnati's Luis Castillo behind a solid outing from Wade Miley for a rare underdog victory Monday night.

Castillo has gone beyond the sixth inning just twice in his last 11 starts, due in part to his high walk rate (third among all qualified starters in the National League). Houston is second in walks drawn in June (62). They've also struck out just 94 times this month, the lowest mark in the majors, and Castillo typically makes hay in that department (seventh with 96 strikeouts on the year).

Miley most recently silenced the Orioles' bats through six innings June 9. He's kept first baseman Joey Votto in check in 17 prior meetings, allowing only four hits. Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and second baseman Jose Peraza have fared far worse than their perennial All-Star teammate against Miley, going 1-for-21 combined.

New York Mets (34-37) at Atlanta Braves (42-30), 7:20 p.m. ET

Zack Wheeler (5-4, 4.87 ERA) (NYM) +135 / +1.5 runs (-140) / Over nine runs (-120) Mike Soroka (7-1, 1.92 ERA) (ATL) -150 / -1.5 runs (+120) / Under nine runs (EVEN)

MLB Free Play: Braves runline

The Braves should ride a decided advantage in the pitching department Monday night.

Zack Wheeler starts for the Mets, and though he's pitched at least seven innings in four of his last six tries, his ERA in that span is 5.54. First baseman Freddie Freeman (1.127 OPS in June) typically dominates Wheeler. He has 10 hits and two home runs in 20 previous meetings with the Wheeler. The Mets' relievers have been the worst in the league in the last 30 days, with a 6.56 ERA.

Soroka's opponent batting average for the season is .195, and his WHIP is 0.967. His bullpen has posted a 3.23 ERA in the last 30 days, the best mark in baseball.