The best betting props for the BMW Championship

Dustin Johnson could’ve put his feet up in his hotel room and let the other golfers play another 36 holes at the Northern Championship last week and he probably still would’ve won at a canter – such was the DJ dominance.

On to the BMW Championship and Olympia Fields is going to be a hell of a different challenge than TPC Boston was. This course is extremely long – the longest par 70 so far this year – and the rough is rumoured to be somewhere between four and five inches!

As we go through the prop bets, we are on the hunt for someone who drives the ball well off the tee and has laser-like accuracy.

Top 10 finish: Cameron Champ (+250)

Champ missed the cut last week at the Northern Trust, but I fancy him to bounce back here, particularly as he had a tie for the lead in the final round of the PGA Championship the week prior.

He is a lovely fit for this course given that he ranks second on the PGA Tour in strokes gained off the tee this season, and that he has four top 25 finishes in his last seven starts. But overall that Champ has some hidden course form! In 2016 he won the Fighting Illini Invitational here as a Texas A&M junior, shooting five under.

That winning feeling and fond memories can elevate this hot shot to a Top 10 finish.

Top Aussie: Jason Day (+135)

Jason Day broke my heart last week as his run of fine form came to a crashing halt as he missed the cut, but I’m not abandoning the good-ship Day just yet.

Before that hiccup at TPC Boston, Day’s run of form read seventh, fourth, sixth, and then fourth at the PGA Championship.

While I worry his putting might let him down here in terms of the winner market, I’m happy enough that he should see off fellow Aussies Adam Scott, Marc Leishman, and Cameron Smith.

Group A winner: Jon Rahm (+275)

Backing against DJ following last week’s demolition job mightn’t be the shrewdest move, but there is value in Jon Rahm in this group betting.

Johnson has won back-to-back before so that’s not the concern – it’s more his driving being a little wayward that would have me worried. DJ ranks 97th on tour for accuracy off the tee.

Elsewhere in this group I’m happy to discount Bryson DeChambeau who ranks an even worse 116th for driving accuracy and has a formline of MC-30-4-MC (although the fourth did come in the US PGA) while Justin Thomas who has been outside the Top 35 on his last two appearances.

Group E winner: Viktor Hovland (+275)

Also in the Group betting, the odds of Viktor Hovland caught my eye The Norwegian shot a 66 on his final round last week to finish 18th and really he should’ve secured a Top 10 had he not three-putted the 17th and then the 18th!

He also has some course form as a US Amateur – finishing sixth here with a final round of 67 in the Fighting Illini Invitational.

Let’s not beat around the bush, Hovland’s short game is not pretty, however he is good enough off the tee for me to get involved here.

Top 20 finish: Jason Kokrak (+250)

I can’t complete a list of prop bets and focus on driving ability without somehow including Jason Kokrak. He finished 15th in the Wyndham and then 13th last week with some super approach play and a continuation of that here could give him another Top 20 finish.

The American does not want a huge scoring shoot-out by the looks of it – he relishes a tough course having previously finished in the Top 10 at Bay Hill and Bethpage, among others. Kokrak managed an eagle on the 18th in his final round last week, which was enough to sneak him into this field, and now he’s here he’s worth backing.