Big 12 football Week 10 picks: Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State & 3 more
The Big 12 is back in full swing, as we head into Week 10 of the college football season.
Last week, Oklahoma State went down against Texas and West Virginia ended a Kansas State hot streak. This week, Oklahoma will look to be get back to contender status.
We'll will focus on the marquee matchup between No. 14 Oklahoma State and Kansas State. We will also make picks for three other Big 12 games.
#14 Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
Halloween was a scary time for these two teams, as both lost to unranked teams to derail their playoff hopes. Kansas State ended its four-game win streak with a loss to West Virginia. Oklahoma State took its first loss of the season at home to Texas in overtime.
Texas upsets No. 6 Oklahoma State in OT, 41-34 🔥
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 1, 2020
(via @CFBONFOX)pic.twitter.com/zCnWAid1jk
This has been an even series in recent years, and the Cowboys have won six of the past 10 matchups. Surprisingly, though, the average margin of victory is 11.4.
Kansas State quarterback Will Howard had a rough go against West Virginia last week, when he threw three interceptions and only managed 184 yards through the air. Oklahoma State also has a tough passing defense, as it has only allowed 174.6 yards per game and six touchdowns through six games. Three of those six touchdowns came last week from Texas' Sam Ehlinger.
This pick-six for WVU feels like it's blouses. Tough day for Will Howard, but hopefully one he can learn from. #KStateFB pic.twitter.com/L4wNTbSon7
— Sully Engels (@sullyengels) October 31, 2020
Oklahoma State running backs Chuba Hubbard and LD Brown struggled to get going on the ground last week against Texas. However, Kansas State has a middle-of-the-road rushing defense. The Wildcats allow 163.2 yards per game and 4.41 yards per carry.
The trends favor the Under in this spot, if you look at previous Kansas State games. In the past three seasons, the Under is 7-1 when Kansas State is a home underdog and 6-0 when the Wildcats are coming off a road loss to a conference opponent.
I believe both defenses will bow up, to get back on track after tough losses.
Pick: Under 46
West Virginia vs. Texas
The tough West Virginia pass defense will be put to the test in Texas against Ehlinger. The total is extremely low, given the fact that Texas averages 44.3 points per game.
In the past three seasons, the Over is 7-3 when the Mountaineers are coming off a win against a conference opponent. It is also 9-1 when they have won two of their previous three games.
Pick: Over 55
Texas Tech vs. TCU
Texas Tech continued its rough season with a blowout loss to Oklahoma last week, while TCU turned its season around with a big win at Baylor.
The series history since TCU joined the Big 12 in 2012 has been very tight. Each team has won four games, and six of the eight have been decided by 10 points or fewer.
TCU has struggled in these spots the past three seasons. The Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS when favored by 3.5-10 points and 2-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Pick: Texas Tech +9.5
Baylor vs. Iowa State
The Cyclones will look to continue their impressive Big 12 season against the snake-bitten Baylor Bears. Baylor has lost three consecutive games by 10 points or fewer.
This scenario has favored Baylor in the past three seasons. Baylor is 9-5 ATS as an underdog, 7-1 ATS in the month of November, and 9-2 ATS following a loss against the spread.
Iowa State is 4-9 ATS as a home favorite and 2-6 ATS in November.
Pick: Baylor +14
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