College Football Picks Week 13: Top 4 Best Bet and Parlays
Only two weeks remain in the 2024 college football regular season for the Power 5 conferences, and YouBet has identified four games to boost the bankroll in Week 13. All lines courtesy of BetMGM; times listed are Eastern.
View all official college football game odds here.
Indiana at Ohio State (12 p.m.): Indiana
The Hoosiers got caught in a look-ahead situation and failed to cover, winning 20-15 as a 14.5-point favorite versus Michigan last week, but they remain one of the nation’s highest-scoring offenses (40.2 points per game). Kurtis Roarke will make his third start back from a thumb injury, throwing for four touchdowns versus Michigan State before struggling last week versus Michigan, and the senior transfer quarterback leads one of the most prolific attacks in the FBS, with the Hoosiers covering eight consecutive games before last week.
The Buckeyes enter with a 5-5 ATS record this season and weren’t dynamic in their three biggest tests this season, losing 32-31 to Oregon and recording a 21-17 win over Nebraska and a 20-13 victory over Penn St. Transfer quarterback Will Howard can be inconsistent at times, and Indiana’s defense is ranked third nationally (allowing 270.4 yards per game). We like the Hoosiers to cover a lofty spread.
Ole Miss at Florida (12 p.m.): Florida
Double-digit home underdogs in the SEC are 6-1 ATS this season and Florida has been playing inspired football behind quarterback D.J. Lagway (4-0 ATS in the last four games he started), winning 27-16 over LSU last week. They went toe-to-toe with Tennessee and Georgia previously, leading both games in the second half, and Lagway didn’t play in a double-digit loss to Texas two weeks ago.
Off a bye, Ole Miss must avoid a letdown following an enormous 28-10 win over Georgia, and the Rebels are 1-2 ATS when favored by double digits in conference games. The Gators are no longer underachieving: they recruit at a high level, and given their surging form, Florida appears more than capable of covering a double-digit spread versus an Ole Miss team that has not scored more than 28 points in five of their last six games.
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UCF at West Virginia (3:30 p.m.): UCF
West Virginia allowing 31.5 points per game in eight conference games, and the Mountaineers have performed better away from Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown, losing three consecutive home games and winning their last three road games. We’re not keen on their ground game. After being held under 100 rushing yards two games ago, the Mountaineers needed quarterback Garrett Greene to be the leading rusher last week.
With the nation’s sixth-best rushing offense (241.6 yards per game), UCF figures to feast upon a West Virginia defense that is allowing 181.4 rushing yards per game at home (102nd worst in FBS). And after utilizing a one-dimensional approach most of the season, the Knights have displayed much better balance the last two weeks behind quarterback Dylan Rizk, who has thrown for a combined 523 yards and three touchdowns as the offense has scored 56 and 31 points. UCF is playing their best football presently and their offense will prove too much in this match-up.
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Penn St. at Minnesota (3:30 p.m.): Minnesota
After reeling off four consecutive wins to become bowl eligible, Minnesota came up flat and lost at Rutgers. They had a bye week to regain their focus and the opportunistic Golden Gophers take care of the football, tied for 12th-best nationally in turnover margin per game. They’ve become much more balanced this year behind transfer quarterback Max Brosmer, who has attracted attention from NFL scouts after throwing for a combined 795 yards, six touchdowns, and no interceptions in the last three games, and the Golden Gophers still rely upon a strong defense and formidable rushing attack.
Penn St. plays a soft schedule and will blow out overmatched teams, but they’ve had their share of competitive games against better conference opponents like Illinois, UCLA, and USC, recording a 3-4 ATS record in the last seven games. Minnesota enters on a 5-1 ATS run and will be primed for their best showing of the season.
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