College Football Picks Week 11: Top 3 Best Bet and Parlays
The first set of rankings for the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff was announced this week, and the final month of the regular season promises to be exciting. YouBet will try to boost the bankroll in Week 11 with a three-pack of picks; all lines courtesy of BetMGM and times listed as Eastern.
Minnesota at Rutgers (12 p.m.): Minnesota
After opening 4-0, Rutgers has lost four consecutive games. And its defensive woes have been exploited over the last three outings, surrendering 119 combined points to Wisconsin (42), UCLA (35), and USC (42). The Scarlet Knights exit a bye week, but they are a woeful 0-5-1 ATS in their last six November games and face a Minnesota team on a 5-0 ATS run.
The Golden Gophers arguably have improved more than any team in the nation since early October, reeling off four consecutive wins since opening 2-3, and they’ve got a legitimate chance to win out due to the stellar play of transfer quarterback Max Brosmer, who has really come on since a slow start to the season, throwing seven touchdowns and no interceptions over the last three games. A run-heavy team for years, the Golden Gophers own much more balance this season, recording big wins over 11th-ranked USC and 24th-ranked Illinois during the current win streak.
Minnesota excels on third-down conversions, including 46.7% in road games this season, and its opportunistic defense has forced a +9 turnover margin over the last four games. The Golden Gophers are performing at a higher level defensively, and these teams are trending in different directions.
Georgia at Ole Miss (3:30 p.m.): Ole Miss
Carson Beck has been exposed at times this season, throwing three interceptions before Georgia rallied from a seven-point second-half deficit to defeat Florida last week. He’s thrown six interceptions over the last two games, struggling when pressured (5-for-20), and Ole Miss relies on its front seven defensively, which has played with an edge in recent games. The Rebels forced eight sacks and 13 tackles for a loss against Arkansas last week, and they will look to wreak havoc upon Georgia’s young offensive line, which has sustained injuries and felt the loss of so many players to the NFL in recent years.
The Bulldogs still get after it defensively, but it will be a tough matchup against a Lane Kiffin offense that has found its groove after a slow start to the conference schedule, with Jaxson Dart completing 47 of 61 passes for 826 yards and seven touchdowns over the last two games. Georgia has allowed more than 30 points to a pair of SEC rivals already this season, and Ole Miss may prove to be the most explosive attack it's faced.
We like Ole Miss to win straight up.
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South Carolina at Vanderbilt (4:15 p.m.): South Carolina
South Carolina ranks 11th in total defense (304.8 yards allowed per game) and 15th in scoring defense (18.9 points allowed per game), and those numbers would be better if not for offensive woes early in the campaign. The 5-3 Gamecocks had every opportunity to beat Alabama and LSU, losing both games by a field goal or less, and Ole Miss is the only team to outplay South Carolina this season.
The Gamecocks have thrived in recent weeks due to the development of LaNorris Sellers, who thoroughly outplayed counterpart Marcel Reed throwing for 244 yards and a pair of touchdowns and rushing for 144 yards and a pair of touchdowns as South Carolina throttled 10th-ranked Texas A&M last week, shutting out the Aggies in the second half by a 24-0 margin. The Gamecocks can defeat any team in the nation when their offense proves effective, as they are that good defensively.
The 6-3 Commodores are much improved this season, defeating Alabama and Virginia Tech and taking Texas to the wire (27-24 loss), but the offense was not efficient last week, gaining only 227 total yards (84 rushing) in a low-scoring win over Auburn. South Carolina’s defense will give them serious trouble, and we will look for the Gamecocks to carry their momentum forward with a comfortable road win.
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