2024 Masters: 10-year trends

The 88th edition of the Masters Tournament will tee off on Thursday at Augusta National, with 13 members of LIV among the 89-player field.

Reigning Masters champ Jon Rahm joined LIV Golf in December and will return to Augusta as the co-second choice (+1100) to collect a green jacket on Sunday. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who earned his first major championship at the Masters in 2022, is the +450 tournament favorite ahead of the first round.

Will Scheffler get a win for the PGA, or will LIV Golf prevail on Augusta's hallowed grounds? YouBet examines the 10-year trends of the Masters and takes a look at the odds ahead of Thursday's opening round.

The average winning score is 276

Since 2014, the highest winning score recorded was Danny Willett's 283 in 2016, while the lowest was Dustin Johnson's 268 in 2020, which is a record low for the Masters.

Over the last decade, the average winning score at the Masters is 276, and fittingly the Over/Under is set at 276.5 for this year's winning mark. The Over is pulling in more money as of Wednesday, and the weather should lend to lower scores on Friday through Sunday. However, there is a 100 percent chance of rain on Thursday morning, with wind speeds of 15 to 25 mph. Early tee times could get delayed, but with the skies expected to clear up by midday, this year's tournament should mostly be played in near-perfect conditions.

The U.S. has won more often than not

Dating back to 2014, six of the last 10 Masters winners were from the United States. Last year's champion, Rahm, represented Spain, as did Sergio Garcia, who won in 2017. Outside of those two countries, Hideki Matsuyama earned a win for Japan in 2021 and Danny Willett scored a victory for England in 2016. 

Furthermore, 10 runners-up from the last decade hailed from the United States, while the UK finished in second place four different times with the help of Rory McIlroy (2022), Justin Rose (2015 and 2017), and Lee Westwood (2016).

Overall, the United States has produced 39 Masters winners and 63 total victories, while all other nationalities have earned 24 victories combined.

You can bet on nationality props for the Masters, with a U.S. player favored to win (yes is -165). The odds of an Asian winner is +1000 and an English winner is +2000, or you can back a European winner at +225. The rest of the world is listed at +450.

Experience is (almost) everything

A tradition unlike any other, the Masters is known to produce winners who make it a tradition of playing at Augusta National. Eight of the last 10 victors had competed in at least three previous Masters tournaments. The exceptions were Jordan Spieth (2015) and Danny Willett (2016), who had appeared in the Masters just one time prior to their respective victories.

Age is not just a number

While increased experience at Augusta is important, increasing age can be detrimental. Although, five-time Masters winner Tiger Woods slipped on the green jacket for the fifth time at age 43, making him the second-oldest winner behind six-time Masters legend Jack Nicklaus (age 46 in 1986).

But when it comes to the average winning age over the last decade, twenty-somethings have been dominant. Rahm got his first Masters win last year at age 28. The year prior, Scheffler was 25, and Matsuyama was 29 years and 45 days old when he celebrated a victory in 2021.

We've also witnessed the second-youngest Masters winner in the last decade, as Jordan Spieth made history at 21 years, 259 days old in 2015, the same year he won the U.S. Open. Woods is the youngest Masters winner, at 21 years, 104 days old in 1997.

A hole in one is not that rare

In the history of the Masters, there have been 34 holes-in-one, and 10 of them occurred over the last 10 years. For that reason, you won't get great odds on a hole-in-one happening in this year's tournament (yes is -240). But you can try to guess which round the hole-in-one will occur in if you want better odds (Round 4 has the lowest odds at +100 and Round 3 has the highest at +700).

In 2021, Corey Conners recorded an ace on Hole No. 6, where five other players have accomplished the feat. The hole that has garnered the greatest hole-in-one success is No. 16, with 24 aces. Most notably, in 2016, three players recorded a hole-in-one on 16. Below is the full list of aces on the 16th dating back to 2014: 

2016: Shane Lowry, Davis Love III, Louis Oosthuizen

2017: Matt Kuchar

2018: Charley Hoffman

2019: Justin Thomas, Bryson DeChambeau

2021: Tommy Fleetwood